Question: Consider the data below: Month Demand Jan 163 Feb 238 Mar 238 Apr 133 May 208 Jun 223 Jul 133 Aug 193 Sep 268 Oct

Consider the data below:

Month	Demand
Jan	163
Feb	238
Mar	238
Apr	133
May	208
Jun	223
Jul	133
Aug	193
Sep	268
Oct	133
Nov	223

The forecast for the month of November was higher than the actual demand and the forecast for the month of December (using exponential smoothing) is exactly equal to the actual demand of November. What smoothing constant can justify this behaviour?

0.25

0.5

Unsufficient information

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