Consider the following project data. A marketing study that costs $200 will be conducted at t = 0. The best estimate now is that there is a 70 percent chance that the study will indicate potential and a 30 percent chance that it will not. If the study indicates potential, the firm will spend $500 at t = 1 to start production. If the firm starts production, the firm is confident that cash inflows will be $1,000 annually for two years (t=2 and 3). If the appropriate cost of capital is 10 percent, what is the project's expected NPV to the nearest dollar?

A) $1,300

B) $923

C) $646

D) $586

E) $446