Question: Consider the following time series data. (a) Conatruct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? The data appear to fallow

Consider the following time series data. (a) Consider the following time series data. (a) Conatruct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? The data appear to fallow a horizontal pattern. The data appear to fallow a cyclical pottern. The dsta appear to fallow a trend pattern. The dsta appear to fallow a sesconal pattern. (b) Develop the three-wook maving average for this time series. (Found your answers to two decimal places.) Compute MSE. (Found your answer to two decimal placese) MGE - What is the forecast for werk 7 ? (c) Use it - 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE. (Found your answer to two decimal plocese) MGE - What is the forecast for week 7 ? (Found your answer to two docimal places) (d) Compare the three-week maving average forecast with the exponential smocthing forecast using is - 0.2. Which appears to pravide the better forecast based on MSE? Explain. The expanentisl smoathing using a0.2 provides a better forecast since it has a larger MSE than the three-woek maving average appraach. The exponentisl smoathing using a - 0.2 prowides a better forecast since it has a smaller MSE than the three-week mowing awerage approsch. The three-woek maving average pravides a better forecast since it has a smoller MSE than the smoathing approsch using a - D.2. The three-voek maving average pravides a better forecsat since it has a larger MSE than the smocthing apprasch using it -0.2 . (e) Use trial and erar to find a value of the exponential smocthing coefficient that results in a smaller MSE than what you calculated for a - 0.2. a

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