Question: Could someone please help to answer the question below regarding real options in corporate finance? Consider the example of bidding for the right to extract

Could someone please help to answer the question below regarding real options in corporate finance?

Consider the example of bidding for the right to extract oil in the high-risk scenario:

Here, the oil price can vary between $60 per barrel or $30 per barrel.

  • Each has equal probability.
  • Extraction costs at the site are $50 per barrel.
  • This corresponds to the same expected value, $45 per barrel.
  • If the price turns out to be $30 per barrel, it won't make sense to extract oil because the extraction costs are far larger than the oil price.
  • If the price turns out to be $60, then, in fact, extracting oil generates a profit of $10 per barrel.

In this example of the bidding for the right to extract oil, what is the maximum bid the company would make?

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