Question: Cross - validation is a technique used to assess how well a predictive model will perform on unseen data. Here's a breakdown of the options:
Crossvalidation is a technique used to assess how well a predictive model will perform on unseen data. Here's a breakdown of the options:
aWith crossvalidation, we carefully estimate a variety of models and choose the one that yields the lowest BIC.
This is not the primary purpose of crossvalidation. While crossvalidation can be used to compare different models, the goal is typically to assess the model's performance on unseen data rather than selecting based on BIC.
bWith crossvalidation, models are selected on the basis of their insample fit.
This is not correct. Crossvalidation is used to evaluate the model's performance on outofsample data, not for selecting models based on their insample fit.
cWith crossvalidation, models are evaluated based on their outofsample forecasting accuracy.
This is correct. Crossvalidation involves splitting the data into training and testing sets multiple times. The model is trained on the training set and then tested on the testing set to evaluate its forecasting accuracy on unseen data.
dWith crossvalidation, we select models that yield both low BIC values and no evidence of residual correlation.
This is not the primary purpose of crossvalidation. While crossvalidation can help identify models with good fit, its main goal is to assess how well the model generalizes to unseen data.
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