Question: Decision Making with Risk - Exercise An engineer is to choose between Design A and Design B for the construction of a civil engineering system.
Decision Making with Risk Exercise
An engineer is to choose between Design A and Design B for the construction of a civil engineering system. The longevity of the system with Design A in the absence of climate change is yearswhich occurs out of every times whereas the longevity of the system with Design A in the presence of climate change which occurs out of every times is years.
The longevity of the system with Design B in the absence of climate change is years which occurs out of every times whereas the longevity of the system with Design B in the presence of climate change which occurs out of every times is years.
The probabilities of occurrence of presence of climate change and absence of climate change is unknown.
State what kind of decision making is involved in this case.
a Risk b Uncertainty
List the following:
Actions
States of nature
Payoffs
Choose the best suited alternative using Decision Tree.
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