Question: Decision Making with Risk - Exercise An engineer is to choose between Design A and Design B for the construction of a civil engineering system.

Decision Making with Risk- Exercise
An engineer is to choose between Design A and Design B for the construction of a civil engineering system. The longevity of the system with Design \( A \) in the absence of climate change is 35 years(which occurs 4 out of every 10 times), whereas the longevity of the system with Design \( A \) in the presence of climate change (which occurs 6 out of every 10 times) is 25 years.
The longevity of the system with Design B in the absence of climate change is 20 years (which occurs 8 out of every 10 times), whereas the longevity of the system with Design B in the presence of climate change (which occurs 2 out of every 10 times) is 15 years.
The probabilities of occurrence of presence of climate change and absence of climate change is unknown.
State what kind of decision making is involved in this case.
a. Risk b. Uncertainty
List the following:
1. Actions
2. States of nature
3. Payoffs
Choose the best suited alternative using Decision Tree.
Decision Making with Risk - Exercise An engineer

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

1 Expert Approved Answer
Step: 1 Unlock blur-text-image
Question Has Been Solved by an Expert!

Get step-by-step solutions from verified subject matter experts

Step: 2 Unlock
Step: 3 Unlock

Students Have Also Explored These Related Civil Engineering Questions!