Question: Establishing a Base Case Christopher's initial analysis established the expected price point for retailers at $ 2 2 per unit for Advanced Seal, compared to
Establishing a Base Case Christopher's initial analysis established the expected price point for retailers at $ per unit for Advanced Seal, compared to $ and $ per unit for P&Gs Premium and Basic offering, respectively. Christopher had worked with his supply chain leaders to estimate the cost structure. The new technology would run at a cost of $ per unit cost more than the current Premium product offering, such that the gross profit for Advanced Seal would be lower than for Premium. Exhibit provides the summary assessments that had coalesced regarding the unit price and cost for the Crest Whitestrips products. EXHIBIT Gross Profit Comparison
The forecasting models sggested a base case annual forecast of million units
for Advanced Seal. The analysis also suggested that cannibalization of existing
Crest Whitestrips products would be high, on the order of to for
Premium units and for Basic units. Such cannibalization rates meant that
to of Advanced Seal's million expected units was coming straight
out of existing P&G sales.
Preliminary discussions around advertising spending indicated an expected
launch budget of $ million per year. He estimated that the cannibalized
Premium and Basic products already received $ million per year in
advertising support that would no longer be required after the launch. This
meant the group would have to spend an incremental $ million in advertising
to support the launch. He also needed to include $ million per year for
incremental selling, general, and administrative expenses. Does the project appear economically viable? Which strategic proposal do you find most appealing? Build a fouryear DCF model to support your recommendation.
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