Question: Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model Following are forecasts of sales, net operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating assets (NOA) as of
Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model Following are forecasts of sales, net operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating assets (NOA) as of February 26, 2011, for Best Buy, Inc.
| Assume Reported | Horizon Period | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Terminal Period |
| Sales | $50,272 | $52,786 | $55,425 | $58,196 | $61,106 | $61,717 |
| NOPAT | 1,389 | 1,584 | 1,663 | 1,746 | 1,833 | 1,852 |
| NOA | 7,876 | 8,248 | 8,660 | 9,093 | 9,548 | 9,643 |
Answer the following requirements assuming a discount rate (WACC) of 11%, a terminal period growth rate of 1%, common shares outstanding of 392.6 million, net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $1,274 million and noncontrolling interest (NCI) on the balance sheet of $690 million. (a) Estimate the value of a share of Best Buy's common stock using the discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of February 26, 2011. Rounding instructions:Round answers to the nearest whole number unless noted otherwise. Use your rounded answers for subsequent calculations.
| Assume Reported | Horizon Period | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Terminal Period |
| Increase in NOA | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |
| FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA) | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |
| Discount factor [1/(1+rw)t] | (round 5 decimal places) | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |
| Present value of horizon FCFF | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | ||
| Cum present value of horizon FCFF | $Answer | |||||
| Present value of terminal FCFF | Answer | |||||
| Total firm value | Answer | |||||
| Less NNO | Answer | |||||
| Less NCI | Answer | |||||
| Firm equity value | $Answer | |||||
| Shares outstanding (millions) | Answer | (round one decimal place) | ||||
| Stock price per share | $ Answer | (round two decimal places) | ||||
(b) Best Buy (BBY) stock closed at $30.20 on April 25, 2011. How does your valuation estimate compare with this closing price? What do you believe are some reasons for the difference?
Our stock price estimate is higher than the BBY market price, indicating that we believe that BBY stock is undervalued on that date. Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Our higher stock price estimate might be due to more optimistic forecasts or a lower discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts' model assumptions.
Stock prices are a function of many factors. It is impossible to speculate on the reasons for the difference.
Our stock price estimate is lower than the BBY market price, indicating that we believe that BBY stock is overvalued. Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Our lower stock price estimate might be due to more optimistic forecasts or a lower discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts' model assumptions.
Our stock price estimate is lower than the BBY market price, indicating that we believe that BBY stock is undervalued. Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Our lower stock price estimate might be due to more optimistic forecasts or a lower discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts' model assumptions.
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