Exercise $1-$ Testing a Claim In the first video, how many color changes did you notice? In the second video, did you see the gorilla? Did you notice the gorilla suit in the first video? Science is about stuff like that. Science operates through a kind of formalized process of observation that is designed to eliminate $-$ as much as possible $-$ mistakes in reasoning that lead to conclusions based on observations from someone who didn't see the gorilla. About half of fresh observers miss the gorilla in the second video, and probably fewer catch the gorilla suit sitting in open view through half the first video. If I claim there is a gorilla suit in the first video, The Colour$-$Changing Card Trick, it's easy to test that claim by simply re$-$watching the video. In science we might consider that repeating an experiment. If I asked you to watch the video and verify for me that you also see a gorilla suit, that's one way of testing my claim, when you respond yes to seeing the gorilla suit. We test claims by putting them through a process that can confirm or disconfirm the claim in some measurable or repeatable way. Below are a series of statements designed to test the claim of some proponents of astrology; that horoscopes are useful and predictive tools capable of assessing accurately someone's personality, based on their date of birth. I had a colleague who is familiar with horoscopes lend me a set of supposedly diagnostic horoscope$-$based statements describing different personalities belonging to different astrological designations, in a vast question bank. An algorithm, using your own date of birth, will filter a smaller set of statements from the horoscope$-$based statement bank that, if horoscopes are realistically predictive, should match you strongly and correctly describe your personality. The algorithm I$\text{'}$m using here does not endanger your privacy. No one else can see your information and e$-$learning provides the necessary and legally$-$required internet security enabling this kind of exercise, as long as you are logged in through a standard secure connection. You will be presented with ten $(10)$ statements selected by the horoscope algorithm based on your date of birth. Please provide responses that signify agreement or disagreement with the statements to the best of your honest judgment. For each statement, respond on a scale of $0$ to $5,$ where $0$ means the statement does not apply to you in any way and $5$ means the statement does a pretty good job of describing your personality. Question $1(1$ point$)$ While you have some personality weaknesses, you are generally able to compensate for them. Your Answer: Question $1$ options: Answer Question $2(1$ point$)$ You have a tendency to be critical of yourself. Your Answer: Question $2$ options: Answer Question $3(1$ point$)$ At times you are extroverted, affable, sociable, while at other times you are introverted, wary, reserved. Your Answer: Question $3$ options: Answer Question $4(1$ point$)$ You have found it unwise to be too frank in revealing yourself to others. Your Answer: Question $4$ options: Answer Question $5(1$ point$)$ You pride yourself as an independent thinker and do not accept others' statements without satisfactory proof. Your Answer: Question $5$ options: Answer Question $6(1$ point$)$ Disciplined and self$-$controlled outside, you tend to be worrisome and insecure inside. Your Answer: Question $6$ options: Answer Question $7(1$ point$)$ You prefer a certain amount of change and variety and become dissatisfied when hemmed in by restrictions and limitations$.$ Your Answer: Question $7$ options: Answer Question $8(1$ point$)$ Security is one of your major goals in life. Your Answer: Question $8$ options: Answer Question $9(1$ point$)$ At times you have serious doubts as to whether you have made the right decision or done the right thing. Your Answer: Question $9$ options: Answer Question $10(1$ point$)$ Some of your aspirations tend to be pretty unrealistic. Your Answer: Question $10$ options: Answer Question $11(1$ point$)$ Using your responses to the preceding ten horoscope$-$algorithm personality statements, calculate your average score for the whole set of statements. What is your overall score, from $0$ to $5,$ averaging your ten responses? Write down your average score and keep track of it for this exercise. Your Answer: Question $11$ options: Answer