Forecast the number of purchases of Apple Watches for the next 10 years, worldwide, using the Bass
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Question:
- Forecast the number of purchases of Apple Watches for the next 10 years, worldwide, using the Bass model. Make your estimates for the entire Apple Watch family, not for a specific model.
- Estimate the total market demand for Apple Watch using the chain ratio method, world wide. Explain how you came up with your estimates
- Select two analogous products in the Enginius software to help forecast sales of Apple Watch.
- Forecast sales of the Apple watch using historical data over the next 10 years. Use the past sales numbers provided in the table below.
- Plot each of your sales predictions. Explain which you believe is most accurate and why.
- Based on your preferred prediction, in what year will sales of Apple Watch reach its peak?
Year | Apple Watch Units Sold |
2015 | 6.8 million |
2016 | 12 million |
2017 | 18 million |
2018 | 22.5 million |
2019 | 33 million |
2020 | 40 million |
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