FORECASTING please help explain! NEED HELP ASAP

	forecast	actual demand	error
2Q 2020	N/A	215
3Q 2020	N/A	210
4Q 2020	N/A	220
1Q 2021	N/A	255
2Q 2021	N/A	235
3Q 2021	230	240	10
4Q 2021	237.5	270	32.5
1Q 2022	250	260	10
2Q 2022	251.25

1. Using the 4-quarter moving average: What is the forecast for 3Q 2021, 4Q 2021, 1Q 2022, and 2Q 2022
2. Compute the forecast for 3Q 2021, 4Q 2021, 1Q 2022, and 2Q 2022

using exponential smoothing (start with 3Q 2021) with a smoothing factor of .7.

	forecast	actual demand	error
2Q 2020		215
3Q 2020		210
4Q 2020		220
1Q 2021		255
2Q 2021		235
3Q 2021	235	240	5
4Q 2021	(238.5) 239	270	31
1Q 2022	(260.7) 261	260	-1
2Q 2022	(260.3) 261

1. Which forecast method provides a more accurate forecast?
2. Compute the forecast for 3Q 2021, 4Q 2021, 1Q 2022, and 2Q 2022

using a weighted moving average technique. The most recent period is weighted at .45, second most recent at .4, and 3^rd most recent at .1 and 4^th most recent at .05.

1. Compare the results from 4 to the results from 1 and 2. Now which forecast provides the more accurate forecast?
2. If the exponential smoothing is calculated using a smoothing factor of .6 will the forecast error be smaller or larger?