Question: From the decision tree, Expected Value ( EV ) of Sell idea alternative = 5 . 5 EV of Large plant = 0 . 7

From the decision tree, Expected Value (EV) of Sell idea alternative =5.5
EV of Large plant =0.7*(0.6*15+0.4*4)+0.3*(-2)=6.82
EV of Small plant, Don't expand =0.7*(0.6*10+0.4*6)+0.3*3=6.78
EV of Small plant, Expand =0.7*(0.6*12+0.4*4)=6.16
Recommended strategy: We see that EV of Large plant is the highest.
Therefore, the best alternative is to open the Large plant
c) Resulting Payoff = $ 6.82 millions

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