Gecko Insurance is planning to offer a new type of combined auto and renter's insurance product. Their
Question:
Gecko Insurance is planning to offer a new type of combined auto and renter's insurance product. Their chief statistician, Albert Gorithm, estimated the parameters of Bass's diffusion model for two potential markets. The results follow:
Market 1: St= 2650 + 0.57Yt-1 - .00022y2t-1
Market 2: St= 14380-0.36Yt-1 - .000652t-1
Remember that the general equation for sales in any time period t is:
St= p0m+(q-p0)Yt-1- (q/m)Y2t-1
Where S (t)= sales ('000s) in period t; p = coefficient of innovation; q = coefficient of imitation; m= sales potential or saturation level; Yt-1=total people who have ever bought (cumulative sales) by end of period t-1
Draw the shape of the predicted sales curve for each market and explain your answer in each case. Show the starting sales level (period 1) and draw the shape carefully.