Question: Given the attached data. Answer the following questions using an initial alpha value of 0.2. t At 1 7813 2 12005 3 8217 4 7770
Given the attached data. Answer the following questions using an initial alpha value of 0.2.
| t | At |
| 1 | 7813 |
| 2 | 12005 |
| 3 | 8217 |
| 4 | 7770 |
| 5 | 11093 |
| 6 | 8803 |
| 7 | 13032 |
| 8 | 5698 |
| 9 | 6184 |
| 10 | 12736 |
| 11 | 3642 |
| 12 | 7118 |
| 13 | 3192 |
| 14 | 4039 |
| 15 | 9537 |
| 16 | 9625 |
| 17 | 8381 |
| 18 | 3723 |
| 19 | 2306 |
| 20 | 4177 |
| 21 | 5867 |
| 22 | 9968 |
| 23 | 3046 |
| 24 | 5477 |
| 25 | 9814 |
| 26 | 6671 |
| 27 | 11788 |
| 28 | 9134 |
| 29 | 6455 |
| 30 | 5173 |
| 31 | 8810 |
| 32 | 5800 |
| 33 | 4868 |
| 34 | 9972 |
| 35 | 7315 |
| 36 | 7029 |
| 37 | 2417 |
| 38 | 7417 |
| 39 | 7775 |
| 40 | 10249 |
| 41 | 3875 |
| 42 | 11276 |
| 43 | 5393 |
| 44 | 8704 |
| 45 | 6944 |
| 46 | 6919 |
| 47 | 2990 |
| 48 | 2872 |
| 49 | 2573 |
| 50 | 6716 |
1. Compute your forecast for period 51.
The potential answers are:
A: 5417.68 units.
B: 8672.65 units.
C: 5901.35 units.
D: 5617.06 units.
E: 5663.93 units.
2. Compute the MAD value for period 50.
The potential answers are:
A: 3339.95 units.
B: 2469.15 units.
C: 2127.42 units.
D: 3523.23 units.
E: 2723.72 units.
3. Compute standard deviation of forecast for period 51.
The potential answers are:
A: 3086.43 units.
B: 4823.98 units.
C: 2659.28 units.
D: 4404.04 units.
E: 3404.66 units.
4. Compute the best alpha value to three decimal points.
The potential answers are:
A: 0.101.
B: 0.046.
C: 0.185.
D: 0.001.
E: 0.217.
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