Question: Happy Electronics is developing a new product for which the profit margin will be $5. However, the development time (in years) is a random variable
Happy Electronics is developing a new product for which the profit margin will be $5. However,
the development time (in years) is a random variable that follows an exponential distribution
with a parameter = , where is the total investment in this R&D project in million $. For
example, if the total investment is $5 million, then = 5 and the mean development time will
be 1/5 years. The demand will be a function of the development (or introduction) time of this
new product: the later the introduction, the smaller the demand. In particular, demand
=
10,000,000
1 + .
Which of the following statement(s) is(are) true, after running the simulation for 1,000 times?
A) Investing $2 million is better than investing $5 million.
B) Given an investment of $5 million, the expected total profit is larger than $31 million.
C) Given an investment of $8 million, the expected total profit is larger than $31 million.
D) Given an investment of $5 million, the expected total profit is larger than $50 million if the
profit margin is $8.
E) None of the above
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