Question: Hayden is a farmer deciding between two possible two crops to plant for the coming season: {corn, beans}. The two possible states of Nature are
Hayden is a farmer deciding between two possible two crops to plant for the coming season: {corn, beans}. The two possible states of Nature are {good weather, bad weather}, and while beans are more weather resistant, corn is more profitable. If Hayden plants corn (a corn lottery, LC),there will be 0.7 percent chance of good weather, yielding a gain of $20 mil. in profits, and a 0.3 percent chance of bad, yielding a loss of $8 mil.Planting beans (LB) gives a 0.9 percent chance of good weather, resulting in $10 mil. in gains, and a 0.1 of bad, resulting in only a $2 mil. loss.
- a. Draw a decision tree to guide us.
- b. Which crop gives the highest expected utility, assuming Hayden gets direct utility from money? Show your calculations.
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