Question: Hello, I do not understand in the question II. 1), why a higher P[F|B], according to the Bayes rule, would require P(f) to be low

Hello, I do not understand in the question II. 1), why a higher P[F|B], according to the Bayes rule, would require P(f) to be low while P(M) and P(BL) should be high ?

Thank you in advance for your help

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