HRM $2005$ Human Resources Planning

Supply Forecasting $-$ Movement Analysis Exercise $(4\%)$

The Peel District School Board is one of Canada's largest public school boards. It serves the $776$ square kilometers of Peel Region with schools in Mississauga, Brampton and Caledon. Peel District School Board serves a total of $232$ schools; $196$ elementary and $35$ secondary schools. Enrolment in September $2007$ was $105,549$ elementary students and $44,068$ secondary students. The Board currently employs $9,900$ academic staff and $3,300$ business and support staff. It hired more than $850$ new teachers in $2006-07$ to keep up with rising enrolment and replace retiring teachers.

As HR analyst for the PDSB$,$ your focus is the organization's Secondary School Division. You need to determine $(1)$ the total number of positions that will require replacement over the next one$-$year period and $(2)$ the impact these opening will have on the current employees' movements throughout the division. The PDSB has a strong "promote from within" policy for all vacancies above the entry level. The Secondary School Division does not have any personnel in authority levels $1$ or $2.$ The most senior position in the Secondary School Division is at Level $3($Secondary Division Superintendent$).$

Based on information from the Board's enrolment system and HRIS, you know the following:

Historical annual loss rates include the following:

a$.$ Retirements $($requiring replacements$)$: Levels $3$ and $4=$ none.

Level $5=5\%$ of positions at start of period.

Levels $6,7$ and $8=10\%$ of positions at start of period.

b$.$ Attrition $($voluntary and involuntary exits$)$: Levels $3$ and $4=$ none.

Levels $5$ and $6=3\%$ of positions at start of period.

Levels $7$ and $8=2\%$ of positions at start of period.

The number of positions at the start of the $2006-07$ school year are as follows:

Level $1($Director$)=1$

Level $2($Assistant Director$)=4$

Level $3($Secondary Division Superintendent$)=1$

Level $4($Area Superintendent$)=5$

Level $5($Principal$)=35$

Level $6($Vice Principal$)=105$