Question: I have the answer sheet but need help seeing it worked out. Particularly for D3, D4, D5 A company currently has earnings (E 0 )
I have the answer sheet but need help seeing it worked out. Particularly for D3, D4, D5
A company currently has earnings (E0) of $3.00 and a dividend (D0) of $1.25. The firms current return on equity (ROE) is 40%. The firm will maintain the same dividend payout and ROE over the next two periods. Then it will transition in a linear reduction in years 3, 4, and 5 to a growth of 2%. The firm will then grow at 2% to perpetuity. The firms beta is presently 1.4, but this will transition to 1 over the same period. The risk-free rate is 4% and the market risk premium is 6%. ROE is expected to be 5% beginning in year 5 to perpetuity. What is the present value of this firms equity using a three-stage model with linear transition in years 3, 4, and 5?
in years 3, 4, and 5?
| Model | ||||||
| Description/Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Earnings Growth Rate |
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| 2.00% |
| EPS | $ 3.00 |
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| Dividend payout (DPS/EPS) |
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| 41.67% |
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| Dividends per share (DPS) | $ 1.25 |
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| Cost of capital (Ke) |
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| 10.00% |
| Present value of cash flows |
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ANSWER SHEET:
Retention rate = (1-dividend payout) = [1-($1.25/$3.00)] = 58.33%
g = ROE x retention rate = 40% x (1-$1.25/$3.00) = 23.333%
| Model |
|
| ||||
| Description/Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Earnings Growth Rate |
| 23.33% | 23.33% | 16.22% | 9.11% | 2.00% |
| EPS | $3.00 | $3.70 | $4.56 | $5.30 | $5.79 | $5.90 |
| Dividend payout (DPS/EPS) |
| 41.67% | 41.67% | 47.78% | 53.89% | 60.0% |
| Dividends per share (DPS) | $1.25 | $1.54 | $1.90 | $2.53 | $3.12 | $3.54 |
| Cost of capital (Ke) |
| 12.40% | 12.40% | 11.60% | 10.80% | 10.00% |
| Present value of cash flows |
| $1.37 | $1.51 | $1.80 | $2.00 | $2.06 |
| g = ROExb | 0.2333333 | |||||
| k = rf+b(MRP) | 12.400% | |||||
| Dividend payout = 1-retention | 60.0% | |||||
| PV Divs 1-5 | $8.73 | |||||
| P5 = D6/(k-g) | $45.15 | |||||
| PV P5 | $26.28 | |||||
| Total value | $35.01 | |||||
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