Question: If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $180,000. If demand is average for the large facility, the
If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be
$180,000.
If demand is average for the large facility, the present value is expected to be
$80,000;
if demand is low, the facility is expected to lose
$40,000.
Part 2
Choose the correct decision tree below. Note that each payoff is given in thousands ($000).
A.
Expand to lrg
Do nothing
Expand to lrg
Expand to med
Do nothing
Expand to med
Do nothing
$180
$80
$40
$115
$100
$90
$25
$145
$80
$25
$30
$15
$11
Low 0.25
Avg 0.40
High 0.35
Low 0.25
Avg 0.40
High 0.35
Low 0.25
Avg 0.40
High 0.35
Large
Small
Med
1234
x y graph
B.
Expand to lrg
Do nothing
Expand to lrg
Expand to med
Do nothing
Expand to med
Do nothing
$180
$80
$40
$115
$100
$90
$25
$145
$80
$25
$30
$15
$11
Low 0.25
Avg 0.40
High 0.35
Low 0.25
Avg 0.40
High 0.35
Low 0.25
Avg 0.40
High 0.35
Large
Small
Med
1234
x y graphYour answer is correct.
C.
Expand to lrg
Do nothing
Expand to lrg
Expand to med
Do nothing
Expand to med
Do nothing
$180
$80
$40
$115
$100
$90
$25
$145
$80
$25
$30
$15
$11
Low 0.35
Avg 0.40
High 0.25
Low 0.35
Avg 0.40
High 0.25
Low 0.35
Avg 0.40
High 0.25
Large
Small
Med
1234
x y graph
D.
Expand to lrg
Do nothing
Expand to lrg
Expand to med
Do nothing
Expand to med
Do nothing
$180
$80
$40
$115
$100
$90
$25
$145
$80
$25
$30
$15
$11
Low 0.25
Avg 0.40
High 0.35
Low 0.25
Avg 0.40
High 0.35
Low 0.25
Avg 0.40
High 0.35
Large
Small
Med
1567234
x y graph
Part 3
What should management do to achieve the highest expected payoff?
The management should build a
in order to achieve the highest expected payoff of
$enter your response here.
(Enter your response as a whole number.)
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