Question: If you were to pick the single most important factor that drives the fluctuation in the short term stock market prices, what would that factor

If you were to pick the single most important factor that drives the fluctuation in the short term stock market prices, what would that factor be, and why do you think that it is the chief factor that drives short term fluctuations? Regarding the categories of stocks, bonds, and mutual funds; which one do you think most (average) people are invested in? Why?

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