Question: In a 2013 article, Forbes.com reports that the average cost of creating a new drug is now a few billion dollars. The price is so

In a 2013 article, Forbes.com reports that the average cost of creating a new drug is now a few billion dollars. The price is so high because its hard to create a drug thats both effective and safe. Indeed, 95% of drugs companies test end up failing at least one of those criteria. And each of these failed drugs cost the company $350 million.[1] Of course, drugs that make it to market may not be successful. Using the provided information, what is the expected value of a new drug (before it is known if the drug is effective and safe)? Remember to show your work.

Performance in the market is

%

Profit (millions)

Astonishing

60%

$10,000

Standard

30%

$3,000

Terrible

10%

$200

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

1 Expert Approved Answer
Step: 1 Unlock blur-text-image
Question Has Been Solved by an Expert!

Get step-by-step solutions from verified subject matter experts

Step: 2 Unlock
Step: 3 Unlock

Students Have Also Explored These Related General Management Questions!