In any given year, 3% of heavy smokers develop lung cancer. Computed tomography (CT) scans correctly identify lung cancer 89% of the time and correctly provide a negative result for 93% of individuals without lung cancer.

a) Draw a probability tree that represents the above situation and compute the probability for each of the four possible outcomes.

b) In total, what proportion of all CT test results are accurate?

c) In total, what proportion of all CT test results are not accurate?

d) If a heavy smoker gets a positive CT test result, what is the probability that they truly have lung cancer?

e) If a heavy smoker gets a negative CT test result, what is the probability that they truly do not have lung cancer?

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This question is divided into 5 sections a b c d e Lets tackle them one by one a A probability tree ... View the full answer