In the article $"$ The Yield Curve Inversion Explained $"$ by Campbell Harvey in July $2019$

Professor at Duke University, Partner, Research Affiliates, Advisor, Man Group and The CFO Survey articles,

$1.$ Find out the current state of the yield curve and post a link to your source.

$2.$ Explain what a recession is$.$ How is it typically defined?

$3.$ Comment on Dr$.$ Harvey's article. What part did you find most interesting? What part, if any, did you find hard to understand?

$4.$ What are the three other factors that Dr$.$ Harvey suggests we look at in addition to the yield curve?

$5.$ Remembering that the article is from $2019,$ what is ironic about it$?$ Explain.

$6.$ Assess the probability of a recession occurring in $2025$ and explain the basis of your forecast. Remember to think not only about the yield curve but also about the CFO forecast, pro vs$.$ anti$-$growth federal policies, and the level of economic uncertainty.

$7.$ If you think a recession will occur, narrow it down to a particular month when you feel it is most likely to start$*.$ If you don't think one will happen in $2025,$ explain why not.