Instructions

Binomial models are used frequently in the social sciences. They are used to calculate the probability of events occurring. This project will focus on (1) using probability models in real-world situations and (2) binomial probability models.

Here is the rubric for your project

Introductory Text

To complete the project, perform the following tasks:

1. Design a probability model that models a real-world situation, and identify the possible outcomes and sample space of the model.
2. Analyze the results of the experiment, and compare theoretical and empirical outcomes.
3. Design a binomial probability experiment.

Create binomial probability experiment with the data from the public opinion poll experiment. Use the probability of success and failure from the experiment. Calculate the probability of the number of successes in 100 random tests. For example, if the probability of success is 0.20 and the number of trials is 100, then the number of successes is 20.

• What are the numbers of trials, successes, and failures?
• What are the results of the experiment?
• What is the difference between the empirical and theoretical probabilities? Identify trends in the outcomes.