Question: Inter - district Bus Line ( IdBL ) , a new firm that entered the transport service provision market in the Free State Province is

Inter-district Bus Line (IdBL), a new firm that entered the transport service provision market in the Free State Province is considering some alternatives to consolidate its power in the province. Three alternatives in this decision-making process are on the table. These are: increasing comfort in the bus such that passengers can watch TV while traveling and lure more customers [alternative 1]; increasing the bus fleet such that with more buses, the time interval between each bus is reduced [alternative 2], and lastly, keep the status quo [alternative 3]. There are two possible outcomes (states of nature) that IdBL faces which are favourable market or unfavourable market. These alternatives and these possible outcomes give different conditional payoffs/profits. The decision table below summarises the conditional payoffs for IdBL. 33.1 Use the maximax criterion to identify the alternative that IdBL will adopt. 3.2 Suppose IdBL sets its coefficient of realism (\alpha ) at 0.8, what alternative will constitute IdBL's best decision? Show all calculations. 3.3 Showing all calculations, identify the best alternative according to the Laplace decision criterion. 3.4 Suppose IdBL believes that the probability of realising a favourable market is the same as that of realising an unfavourable market, which alternative will IdBL adopt using the expected monetary value (EMV) approach in decision-making? Show calculations.

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