Question: I've attached the sales information and everything else is in the Compass Maritime case. Using EXCEL, perform a simple regression using ship price and ship
I've attached the sales information and everything else is in the Compass Maritime case. Using EXCEL, perform a simple regression using ship price and ship age. What is the nature of this relationship? Next look at a scatterplot between ship price and charter rate. What is the nature of the relationship between these two variables?
Now perform a multiple regression analysis, using all three factors. Are all three factors significant? Based on your analysis, what price should Karatzas recommend for the "Bet Performer"? Explain.
| Exhibit 4: Sales of Capesize Ships from January 2007 to May 2008 | ||||||||
| Sale Price | Year | Age at Sale | Dead-Weight Tons | Trailing 1-Year Average Monthly Baltic Dry | ||||
| Sale Date | Vessel Name | ($US millions) | Built | (Years) | (000) | Capesize Index | ||
| 1 | Jan-07 | Lowlands Beilun | $73.0 | 1999 | 8 | 170.2 | 4,647 | |
| 2 | Jan-07 | CHS Moon | $45.0 | 1991 | 16 | 150.2 | 4,647 | |
| 3 | Jan-07 | Spring Brave | $62.0 | 1995 | 12 | 151.1 | 4,647 | |
| 4 | Jan-07 | Martha Verity | $60.0 | 1995 | 12 | 158.0 | 4,647 | |
| 5 | Jan-07 | TMT TBN | $61.3 | 1993 | 14 | 174.7 | 4,647 | |
| 6 | Feb-07 | Pantelis SP | $83.0 | 1999 | 8 | 169.9 | 4,878 | |
| 7 | Feb-07 | Amazon | $45.0 | 1990 | 17 | 149.5 | 4,878 | |
| 8 | Mar-07 | Cape Kassos | $100.0 | 2004 | 3 | 170.0 | 5,245 | |
| 9 | Mar-07 | Johnny K | $65.0 | 1994 | 13 | 165.3 | 5,245 | |
| 10 | Mar-07 | Zorbas | $70.0 | 1996 | 11 | 165.1 | 5,245 | |
| 11 | Mar-07 | Americana | $33.0 | 1987 | 20 | 149.0 | 5,245 | |
| 12 | Mar-07 | Martha Verity | $63.0 | 1995 | 12 | 158.0 | 5,245 | |
| 13 | Mar-07 | Ullswater | $43.0 | 1990 | 17 | 123.5 | 5,245 | |
| 14 | Apr-07 | Formosabulk Brave | $95.0 | 2001 | 6 | 170.1 | 5,752 | |
| 15 | Apr-07 | Formosabulk Clement | $95.0 | 2001 | 6 | 170.1 | 5,752 | |
| 16 | Apr-07 | Nautical Dream | $63.5 | 1994 | 13 | 151.4 | 5,752 | |
| 17 | Apr-07 | Formosabulk Allstart | $67.0 | 1995 | 12 | 150.4 | 5,752 | |
| 18 | Apr-07 | Arimathian | $62.0 | 1994 | 13 | 149.8 | 5,752 | |
| 19 | Apr-07 | Boss | $31.0 | 1985 | 22 | 139.8 | 5,752 | |
| 20 | May-07 | Zorbas II | $86.0 | 1996 | 11 | 174.5 | 6,201 | |
| 21 | May-07 | Fertilia | $50.5 | 1997 | 10 | 172.6 | 6,201 | |
| 22 | May-07 | Ingenious | $64.2 | 1996 | 11 | 170.0 | 6,201 | |
| 23 | Jun-07 | Anangel Dawn | $67.0 | 1994 | 13 | 149.3 | 6,618 | |
| 24 | Jun-07 | Orient Fortune | $28.0 | 1984 | 23 | 161.4 | 6,618 | |
| 25 | Jul-07 | Great Moon | $30.0 | 1984 | 23 | 146.0 | 6,980 | |
| 26 | Jul-07 | Gran Trader | $105.0 | 2001 | 6 | 172.5 | 6,980 | |
| 27 | Aug-07 | Cape Brazil | $22.0 | 1981 | 26 | 140.8 | 7,441 | |
| 28 | Sep-07 | Thalassini Kyra | $133.0 | 2002 | 5 | 164.2 | 8,181 | |
| 29 | Oct-07 | Tiger Lily | $90.0 | 1995 | 12 | 149.2 | 8,886 | |
| 30 | Oct-07 | Dong-A-Helios | $47.0 | 1986 | 21 | 146.9 | 8,886 | |
| 31 | Oct-07 | Marine Hunter | $45.0 | 1984 | 23 | 164.5 | 8,886 | |
| 32 | Oct-07 | Peace Glory | $57.0 | 1984 | 23 | 166.1 | 8,886 | |
| 33 | Nov-07 | Sumihou | $106.0 | 1996 | 11 | 171.1 | 9,663 | |
| 34 | Nov-07 | Gran Trader | $152.0 | 2001 | 6 | 172.6 | 9,663 | |
| 35 | Nov-07 | Netadola | $97.0 | 1993 | 14 | 149.5 | 9,663 | |
| 36 | Nov-07 | Nordstar | $38.0 | 1983 | 24 | 150.7 | 9,663 | |
| 37 | Nov-07 | Captain Vangelis L | $87.5 | 1992 | 15 | 148.2 | 9,663 | |
| 38 | Dec-07 | Voutakos | $78.0 | 1987 | 20 | 188.3 | 10,299 | |
| 39 | Dec-07 | Sachuest | $35.0 | 1986 | 21 | 98.4 | 10,299 | |
| 40 | Jan-08 | Sinfonia | $83.7 | 1991 | 17 | 184.4 | 10,526 | |
| 41 | Jan-08 | Jin Tai | $155.0 | 2004 | 4 | 173.9 | 10,526 | |
| 42 | Feb-08 | Dias | $58.0 | 1988 | 20 | 135.0 | 10,844 | |
| 43 | Mar-08 | Desimi | $83.0 | 1989 | 19 | 207.1 | 11,193 | |
| 44 | Mar-08 | Samos | $25.0 | 1982 | 26 | 137.0 | 11,193 | |
| 45 | Mar-08 | Cape Sun | $135.0 | 1999 | 9 | 171.7 | 11,193 | |
| 46 | Apr-08 | Nightflight | $158.0 | 2004 | 4 | 170.0 | 11,614 | |
| 47 | May-08 | Cape Falcon | $87.2 | 1993 | 15 | 161.5 | 12,479 | |
| 48 | May-08 | Castle Peak | $82.0 | 1990 | 18 | 145.4 | 12,479 | |
| Source: Adapted from Compass Weekly Market Report (various issues) and Thompson Reuters Datastream, accessed 7/25/10. |
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