Question: Jill is the manager at a bakery. She needs to decide how many birthday cakes to bake each day. Use the accompanying payoff table and
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Jill is the manager at a bakery. She needs to decide how many birthday cakes to bake each day.
Use the accompanying payoff table and probabilities.
Demand Level
Alternative
10
20
30
Bake 10 (d1)
80
80
80
Bake 20 (d2)
60
160
160
Bake 30 (d3)
40
180
240
Probability
0.2
0.3
0.5
Compute the Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI)?
A. EVPI = 8
B. EVPI =80
C. EVPI = 182
D. EVPI = 190
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