Question: Let X= (X 1 ,X 2 ,X 3 ) be the results of exams a student takes. Let each X i be binary {0,1}. 0
Let X= (X1,X2,X3) be the results of exams a student takes. Let each Xi be binary {0,1}. 0 indicating fail and 1 indicating pass. Let the label Y indicate overall grade and Y is a binary variable which takes a value 0 for fail and 1 for passing grade. The prior on Y are P(Y=0) =0.9 and P(Y=1)=0.1. The likelihood is as follows:
P(X=(X1,X2,X3)|Y=y) = Product from i=1 to 3 { (0.5y + 0.25)^(Xi) * (0.75 -0.5y)^(1-Xi) }. If h is the predicted outcome and y is the ground truth then the loss function L(h,y) is as follows : L(0,0)= 0, L(0,1)=1000, L(1,0) =100, L(1,1)=-500.
Q1. Find Bayes optimal hyposthesis hBayes-optimal
Q2. What is Bayes optimal risk (minimum expected loss) ?
If you can not solve this please explain what it means by Bayes optimal hypothesis and bayes risk.
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