Let's say that 80% of all healthy applicants pass the exam, 60% of all applicants with minor medical issues pass and 30% of all applicants with serious medical issues pass. Let's say that 25% of these applicants are actually in good health, 50% have minor medical issues and 25% have major medical issues. Given that an applicant passes the physical examination, what is the conditional probability that that the applicant is in good health?

Answer rating: 100% (QA)

To solve this problem we can use Bayes theorem which states PAB PBAPA PB Where PAB is the conditiona... View the full answer