main idea? Early termination does not appear to increase the risk of recidivism after supervision ends. After three years, the rearrest rate was 14.4% for probationers who were granted early termination, compared with 16.2% of a matched group who served the full term of probation (Baber & Johnson, 2013). The rate of successful termination of local- and state-level probation varied by jurisdiction. A national average estimates that between 60% and 70% of state probationers and 49%-57% of parolees successfully complete supervision. At the federal level, the rate of success is slightly higher, with 72% of federal probationers terminating probation successfully with no violations (