MATH201 - College Mathematics - Quantitative Reasoning

Module 3 - What are the chances? Assignment

This Assessment is part of the Assignments category, worth 25% of your grade.

Deadline

• See Tracking Calendar

Completing this Assessment will help you to meet the following:

Course Outcome

• Draw conclusions and make decisions through the application and analysis of probability.

Directions

Be sure to use the provided Word template and make sure there areno major grammar, punctuation, or spelling errors in your writing.In your analysis, meet all word count requirements.

What are the chances?

Have you ever played a game that required you to take a chance by picking a random number or a board game or spinning the wheel at a carnival? Well, if you have you actually played a game of probability and there are several different types.

This assignment will focus on calculating the chances of an event occurring and comparing probability types. It is based on one standard six-sided die, so grab a die from a board game you have at home or use this website, which allows you to roll virtual dice.

Virtual Six-Sided Die

1. Download the following Word file from your course named: "What are the Chances Assignment - Template.docx"
2. Save it to your computer and name it: MATH201 - What are the Chances Assignment - Your Name.
3. Complete the work in the Word file and save it to your computer.
4. Upload the Word file to the proper dropbox.

MATH201 - Assignment Grading Rubric
Criteria	Exceeds Expectations	Meets Expectations	Needs Improvement	Points
Mathematical Calculations 50 points	45 - 50 points The necessary math work, tables and/or graphs are included, and there are zero calculation errors.	35 - 44 points The necessary math work, tables and/or graphs are included, but there are between one and two calculation errors.	0 - 34 points There are more than two calculation errors, and/or the student does not have all necessary math work, tables and/or graphs.
Analysis 40 points	36 - 40 points A detailed explanation and analysis are included and align with calculations. Word count requirement is met per the template.	28 - 35 points An explanation and analysis are included but may lack minor details or may not clearly align with calculations. Word count is slightly below requirement per the template.	0 - 27 points Explanation and analysis are lacking in detail and clarity, may not align with calculations and/or word count is below requirement per the template.
Writing Skills 10 points	9 - 10 points The report is grammatically correct, has two or fewer spelling, punctuation, or grammar mistakes.	7 - 8 points The report has three to five spelling, punctuation, grammar mistakes.	0 - 6 points The report has more than five spelling, punctuation, grammar mistakes.
Instructor Comments:		Total Points:

Module 5 - What are the chances? Assignment Template

Use a six-sided die and what you have learned so far in your course to help you answer the questions below. If you do not have a die to use at home, you can use the virtual die via the link below.

Virtual Six-Sided Die

1. In four paragraph describe the difference between theoretical and experimental probability. Which do you think is more reliable and why?

1. Determine the theoretical probability of rolling a two with one standard die. put down probability in three equivalent forms: as a fraction, a decimal (rounded to three places) and a percentage (rounded to one decimal place).

1. Now, take your die and roll it the number of times that is equal to your age in years. Create a table below to document each roll of the die. Use this trial data to determine the experimental probability of rolling a two on the die. Write this probability in three equivalent forms: as a fraction, a decimal (rounded to three places) and a percentage (rounded to one decimal place).

1. Was your experimental probability equal to the theoretical probability of rolling a two? If not, do you think the two calculations would be closer if you doubled the number of times you rolled your die? Explain in three paragraph words.