Meta$2.($SHOW YOUR COMPLETE WORK$)$ The manager at a local store has been monitoring the demand for a product. The actual demand data during the last five weeks are shown below:

WEEK ACTUAL DEMAND

$($Units sold$)$

Five weeks ago $205$

Four weeks ago $200$

Three weeks ago $197$

Two weeks ago $192$

One week ago $189$

THIS WEEK ACTUAL DEMAND NOT KNOWN

Use trend$-$adjusted exponential smoothing to obtain the demand forecast for THIS WEEK. Use the following:

Exponentially smoothed forecast five weeks ago $=208$ units

Exponentially smoothed trend estimate five weeks ago $=-4$ units

The smoothing constants: $\backslash$alpha $=0\mathrm{.}4,\backslash$beta $=0\mathrm{.}5.$