Question: Must be done for EXCEL An Inventor develops a new product. Having made the product he has three choices of what to do: Manufacture the
Must be done for EXCEL
An Inventor develops a new product. Having made the product he has three choices of what to do:
Manufacture the product himself
Allow someone else to make it and be paid on a royalty basis
Sell the rights for a lump sum
The profit which can be expected depends on the level of Sales and is shown in the table below:
Pay off Table
|
| High Sales | Medium Sales | Low Sales |
| Manufacture | 80 | 40 | -20 |
| Royalties | 50 | 30 | 10 |
| Sell | 20 | 20 | 20 |
The probabilities associated with the level of sales are .2, .5 and .3 for high, medium and low sales respectfulls.
What is the best decision for the maximax rule?
The maxium rule?
The minimax regret rule?
Calculate the best decision using the expected monetary value.
Calculate the best decisions using the expected monetary loss criterior.
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