Question: ( Note , you have already done the step 1 ) by answering sub - question c ) and please put those values into the
Note you have already done the step by answering subquestion and please put
those values into the table. You can copy the form to your answer sheet then fill blank
cellsA company has collected quarterly sales for the past two years which are shown in the
following table. The company wants to forecast the next year's seasonal sales.
a Let and be the actual total sales ie the sum of all four seasonal sales in
and respectively. Assume current time is the moving average MV technique
makes forecast for the time by taking the average of previous actual values where
The formula can be written as where is the th actual data
Predict the total sales for using MV with actual values and
b In general, we would expect the total sales gets increased in both and as
the economy situation has been keeping going well since Use this and your
answer to subquestion a to explain the limitation of moving average MV method in
forecasting.
c Calculate the average seasonal sales for both and
d Here are the steps of forecasting with seasonality. Please follow the steps to fill out
the blank cells in the following form.
Calculate the average seasonal sales for each year;
Calculate each seasonal index by dividing the actual seasonal sales by the
average seasonal sales;
Compute the average indexes;
Predict the average seasonal sales for year using any forecasting method of your choice.
Multiple next years average seasonal sales by each average seasonal index.
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