Question: On March 1 1 , 1 9 9 9 , the New York Stock Exchange Composite was trading at 1 8 times earnings, ( a

On March 11,1999, the New York Stock Exchange Composite was trading at 18 times earnings, (a market level P/E ratio) and the average dividend yield (D/P) across stocks on the exchange was 3.5%. The treasury bond rate on March 11,1994, was 7%. The economy was expected to grow 2.5% a year (in real terms), in the long term, and the estimate for inflation, in the long term, was 3.5%. The NYSE is a broad market index which presents the average market systematic risk. Using the fisher effect: Expected Growth Rate =(1+Real Growth Rate)(1+ Expected Inflation)-1
A. Based upon these inputs, estimate the appropriate P/E ratio for the exchange.
B. What growth rate in dividends/earnings would justify the P/E ratio on March 11,1999?

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