Question: P 2 ) A company deciding whether to launch a new product. The decision is influenced by the state of the market, which can be

P2) A company deciding whether to launch a new product. The decision is influenced by the state of the market, which can be in one of three states: Favorable, Neutral, or Unfavorable. The company has two alternatives: to launch the product or not to launch it. The payoffs and probabilities for each state of nature are as follows:
States of Nature:
Favorable Market (F)
Neutral Market (N)
Unfavorable Market (U)
Probabilities:
P(Favorable Market)=0.3
P(Neutral Market)=0.5
P(Unfavorable Market)=0.2
Alternatives:
Launch Product (L)
Do Not Launch Product (D)
Payoffs:
If the market is Favorable and the product is launched, the payoff is $100,000.
If the market is Favorable and the product is not launched, the payoff is $0.
If the market is Neutral and the product is launched, the payoff is $20,000.
If the market is Neutral and the product is not launched, the payoff is $0.
If the market is Unfavorable and the product is launched, the payoff is -$50,000(a loss).
If the market is Unfavorable and the product is not launched, the payoff is $0.
1. Develop a Payoff table.
a. What the company should do if an optimistic strategy is used (Maximax).
b. What the company should do if a conservative strategy is used (Maximin).
c. What the company should do if a minimax regret strategy is used.
d. What is the expected value of the best decision if the expected value approach is used?
e. What is the expected monetary value (EMV) of decision?
f. What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?

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