Question: Please build a decision tree model and submit excel for Janssen&Janssen ( J&J ) is considering whether to produce a new automatic dishwashing detergent called
Please build a decision tree model and submit excel for Janssen&Janssen J&J is considering whether to produce a
new automatic dishwashing detergent called SqueakyClean. It will cost J&J about $ to
develop and bring this new item to market. To keep things simple, lets assume that there can be only
two possible demand levels for the new product, high and low. The typical payoff from the new product
if demand is high is $ versus $ if demand is low. J&Js track record on product
development is relatively good: without any additional studies, of their products generate high
demand.
Prior to deciding whether or not to produce SqueakyClean, J&J can hire a market research firm
to conduct a nationwide market study of the product. The cost of the market study is $ but the
studys predictions are not always accurate. Of all products analyzed in the past, the market research
firm predicted to be low demand LD products and to be high demand HD products. Of all
products that were predicted to have low demand, actually turned out to have low demand. Of all
products that were predicted to have high demand, actually turned out to have high demand. This
problem asks you to build a decision tree that can help J&J determine whether it is worthwhile to pay
for a market study when introducing their new product. Assume, of course, that J&J would like to
maximize their profit.
Submit an Excel spreadsheet with your model through Canvas. For full credit, within the
spreadsheet with your model, state in words the course of action that would be optimal forr j&j if it use EMV criterion
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