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5. The Burdell Company wants to develop a sales forecast for a fast-selling new product line it has introduced, in order to help plan future production. The following information has been gathered by the Marketing Department. The past weekly average 1200 and the frend has been 250dditional units per week. This week's demand was 4,600 tinits. Uning trend adjusted exponential smoothing, calculate the forecasted sales for next week? (Supposex-0.20 and 3-0.40 (5 points) Ft= a(A)+(1-x) (F+T+ -0.20 (4.600) +(1-0.20) (F+1 +260 = 840+0.8(+280) 4450 (42001250) 4450 0.2014,600] (0.8) (3) 120+$180 3560 =4480 T = B(F-F1)+(1-B) (T) To 280 -0.40 (400) + (0.60) (250) = 160+ 60 + 180/ FIT=F+* GREER (0.64480-4200)6(25) 4 = 310 =4480 +22 =472-4942 280 = +150 777436 6. Complete this table containing early and late start times and activity lengths. (14 points) Early Finish Early Start Length Activity Predecessor Late Start Late Finish A 11 11 0 11 B A 6. 11 17 14 20 C B. D 10 30 20 20 INIDAT 30 D A 20 11 9 20 n E D 4 26 24 30 20 F CEG 10 30 40 40 30 G A 120 30 21 11 q 1/4 20 16 20 30 10/30 E 24 26439 T 40 30 40 110 What is the expected time for activity B? b. What is the variance for activity 87 c. Based on the calculation of estimated times, what is the clical path? d. What is the estimated time of the critical path? e. What is the activity variance along the critical path? f. What is the probability of completion of the project after week 427 a) expected time for Activity I B = a + 4m the 6 a bl variance of Actry 8 c) ACFHIJ is the critical path d) Estimated time for the eP - 40 weeks e) AN along the CP is = EV alay the CP activikes = 1 + = 6:22 2= 42-40 6:22 = 0.884 beter 42 days weeks the probability is after 42 weeks the 1.78+ /6:11 +0.44 +17/8 +0:11 81-% % probability of completion -100-81- 18.94