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Is the difference between the two lines just due to random fluctuations? Give a short explanation of your answer.

Impulse Responses of Monetary Policy Shocks for Different Taylor Rule Identifying Assumptions Response of Inflation Response of Unemployment -0.5 0.0 0.5 in 0.0 Percent Percent -1.5 -0.5 -1.0 -2.5 L 4 8 12 16 20 24 10 8 12 16 20 24 Lag Lag Response of Real Interest Rates 2.5 -0.5 0.5 1.5 Percent 2.5 4 8 12 16 20 24 Lag