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Scenario A C 1. Current data Current stock price $50 00 550 00 550100 $50 00 Next 12-month ('NTM) consensus EPS forecast at present (ive call this "Year 1") $5 00 $5.00 $5.00 $5.00 Stock's current valueson multiple based on Your 1 EPS 10 0 10 0 10 0 10.0 Current market multiple 150 150 15.0 15.0 Stock's current promium or discount to the market multiple -3915 -39% 2. Change from consensus EPS between Year 1 and Year 2 NTM consensus in Year 2 (.e. forecast at beginning of Year 2 for Year 2] $5.00 $5.60 Difference between Year 2 and Year 1 consensus forecasts 1214 12% 12% 12% Item #2 above is due to passage of time while #3 and 84 below are influenced by the analyst 3. Change due to analyst's financial forecast differing from consensus Analyst's NTM EPS forecast in one year (Le. forecast for Year 2) 50100 Premium er discount of analyst's GPS estimate in Year 2 compared to consensus" 15% 4. Change due to analyst's future valuation multiple differing from current multiple Analyst's estimate of market multiple at beginning of Year 2 (typically keep same as prevent) 150 150 15.0 15.0 Analyst's estimate of stock's premium or discount to market multiple at beginning of Year 2 -33% -27% -20% Valuation multiple used for price target at beginning of Year 2 10 0 10 0 11.0 12 0 Difference between analyst's future multiple and stock's current multiple 5. Price target 45805 $80.00 585.70 $70.20 Change from cument price 31%