please include only the model that you think is most appropriate in the Excel file. As the assignment instructions mentioned: "using only one appropriate exponential smoothing model $($either simple exponential smoothing or Holt exponential smoothing models that you think is most appropriate given the data$)$ either HES or SES."

Please let me know which model is suitable for this data.

Year Total value of building jobs

$2-20142343974$

$3-20142241147$

$4-20141825662$

$5-20142022120$

$6-20143518883$

$7-20141945363$

$8-20142166059$

$9-20141946450$

$10-20142170102$

$11-20142399508$

$12-20142600284$

$1-20152940197$

$2-20152493227$

$3-20152675552$

$4-20152532461$

$5-20152611338$

$6-20152732416$

$7-20153327788$

$8-20152715482$

$9-20152468741$

$10-20152773587$

$11-20153147506$

$12-20153038053$

$1-20162589160$

$2-20162501672$

$3-20163213953$

$4-20163634306$

$5-20163248176$

$6-20163412654$

$7-20163235495$

$8-20163898933$

$9-20164896495$

$10-20162543116$

$11-20162844416$

$12-20162407638$

$1-20173046258$

$2-20173118394$

$3-20173584063$

$4-20173793491$

$5-20173415313$

$6-20173352912$

$7-20173736449$

$8-20173374439$

$9-20174307222$

$10-20173826986$

$11-20173706671$

$12-20173456893$

$1-20183713180$

$2-20183452613$

$3-20182808001$

$4-20183032422$

$5-20183429473$

$6-20183198009$

$7-20183975459$

$8-20183148241$

$9-20183179802$

$10-20183222405$

$11-20183150699$

$12-20183524514$

$1-20192983272$

$2-20193388317$

$3-20193066358$

$4-20193176150$

$5-20193084342$

$6-20192994600$

$7-20193501098$

$8-20194509497$

$9-20192523092$

$10-20193121460$

$11-20193038770$

$12-20192712865$

$1-20203445268$

$2-20203076259$

$3-20202773788$

$4-20202432934$

$5-20202503519$

$6-20202639525$

$7-20203251595$

$8-20202279155$

$9-20202366884$

$10-20204286452$

$11-20203900649$

$12-20203979568$

$1-20213459258$

$2-20214063206$

$3-20214150868$

$4-20213808936$

$5-20213869544$

$6-20215387930$

$7-20213287722$

$8-20213429207$

$9-20214330027$

$10-20213337210$

$11-20213289042$

$12-20213214802$

$1-20222385297$

$2-20223793607$

$3-20224013200$

$4-20223708880$

$5-20223674571$

$6-20223721230$

$7-20223147339$

$8-20224767429$

$9-20223559976$