Question: PLEASE SHOW HOW THIS WAS ANSWERED USING EXCEL AND EXCEL FUNCTIONS A small building contractor has recently experienced two successive years in which work opportu-

PLEASE SHOW HOW THIS WAS ANSWERED USING EXCEL AND EXCEL FUNCTIONS
A small building contractor has recently experienced two successive years in which work opportu- nities exceeded the firm's capacity. The contractor must now make a decision on capacity for next year. Estimated profits under each of the two possible states of nature are as shown in the table below. Which alternative should be selected ? NEXT YEAR'S DEMAND Alternative Low High $60 80 Do nothing $50* Expand 20 Subcontract 40 *Profit in $ thousands. 70 Refer the given problem, suppose after a certain amount of discussion, the contractor is able to subjectively assess the probabilities of low and high demand: P(low) = 0.30 and P(high) = 0.70 a. Determine the expected profit of each alternative. Which alternative is best? Why? b. Analyze the problem using a decision tree. Show the expected profit of each alternative on the tree. Refer to the given problem, Construct a graph that will enable you to perform sensitivity analysis on the problem. Over what range of P(high) would the alternative of doing nothing be best? Expand? Subcontract
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
1 Expert Approved Answer
Step: 1 Unlock
Question Has Been Solved by an Expert!
Get step-by-step solutions from verified subject matter experts
Step: 2 Unlock
Step: 3 Unlock
