Please write neatly and show all work, including formulas and calculations. Partial credit will be given.

Materials permitted: One $8(1)/(2)"$ x $11"$ paper $($this will be turned in$),$ pencils, erasers, and a calculator.

You are reminded to adhere to the academic honesty policy. The z$-$table is available on the last page.

Question $1-[20$ Points$]-($round to two decimals$)$

Terry's Tiles had the following sales for the last few years:

$2021$

$2022$

$2023$

Season

Quarter $1$

$1800$

$1680$

$1750$

Quarter $2$

$850$

$730$

$850$

$840$

$780$

$900$

Quarter $3$

Quarter $4$

$1380$

$1300$

$1410$

The company has forecasted sales of $4,750$ total tiles in $2024.$

Based on this data and the seasonal forecasting model, what will the forecasted