PM Computer Services assembles customized personal computers from generic parts. Formed and operated by part-time UMass Lowell students Paulette Tyler and Maureen Becker, the company has had steady growth since it started. The company assembles computers mostly at night, using part-time students. Paulette and Maureen purchase generic computer parts in volume at a discount from a variety of sources whenever they see a good deal. Thus, they need a good forecast of demand for their computers so that they will know how many parts to purchase and stock. They have compiled demand data for the last 12 months as reported below. Period Month Demand 1 January 37 2 February 40 3 March 41 4 April 37 5 May 45 6 June 50 7 July 43 8 August 47 9 September 56 10 October 52 11 November 55 12 December 54 1. Use exponential smoothing with smoothing parameter a = 0.3 to compute the demand forecast for January