PREMISE

For this assignment, you are continuing your role as a new political consultant in (the fictional city of) Central City, Jefferson. You have thrown your latest political action fundraiser at the Central City Casino for Dr. Geoff Picton one of 17 candidates for the open Democratic Senate seat in Jefferson state - and between talking to donors and other members of the campaign team to find out how the local populace feel about Geoff, you also spend some time finally! to have a bit of fun!

However, this fun is short-lived as the Central County Supervisor of Elections has approached you to discuss some concerns the County Government is having with the upcoming primary election your work is never done!

QUESTION 2

However, you cannot break yourself a way from work. There is a plebiscite coming up in the 2022 state election, where residents are going to vote on making gambling illegal in the state of Jefferson. Curious if you believe it will win, you take random sample of 1023 adults at the Casino asking "Do you think gambling should remain legal or will you vote for the upcoming measure?" Of the 1023 adults surveyed, 725 indicated that they believe gambling should remain legal in Jefferson. Complete parts (a) through (e) below.

A. Obtain a point estimate for the population proportion of adults in the state who believe that gambling should remain legal.

B. Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of adults in the state who believe gambling should remain legal.

C. Is it possible that a supermajority (more than 60%) of adults in the state that plan to vote in favor of the plebiscite (to make gambling illegal in Jefferson)? Is it likely?

D. Use the results of part (c) to construct a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of adults in the state who believe that gambling should be illegal.

E. What confounding factors may be occurring in this study that may mean you have not taken a representative sample of the state?