Question: Problem 2 : The Joint Staff is evaluating several force structure alternatives using a combat simulation model. They are interested in the ability of the
Problem : The Joint Staff is evaluating several force structure alternatives using a combat simulation model. They are interested in the ability of the force to fight and win in a large scale combat operation. The measures that they have decided to use and that will be computed as output from the simulation model are Probability of Victory, Number of Casualties in number of people and Time to Mission Accomplishment in months Your task is to construct a value function and use it to evaluate the alternatives. For that purpose, the following information is given.
Parameters for Problem :
Single dimensional value function for Probability of Victory is piecewise linear such that Pv has zero value, Pv has a value score of and Pv has a value of It is linear in between.
Single dimensional value function for Numbers of Casualties, which range from a low of to a high of is exponential with a midvalue at
The single dimensional value function for time to mission accomplishment ranges between months and months and is linear.
The analysts elicited the following alternatives from the decisions maker. The decision maker expressed indifference between these alternatives:
A B
Time to Mission Accomplishment:
months
months
Casualties:
C D
Casualties:
Probability of Victory:
Compute the weights for the attributes. Write down the complete value function.
Problem : Compute the weights associated with and attributes in SMARTER, and compute the weights for attributes when attributes and are equal.
Problem : Compute the weights associated with and attributes in the Rank Reciprocal method, and compute the weights for attributes when attributes and are equal.
Problem : Compute the weights associated with and attributes in the Rank Sum method, and compute the weights for attributes when attributes and are equal.
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