Question: Problem 3-10 After plotting demand for four periods, an emergency room manager has concluded that a trend-adjusted exponential smoothing model is appropriate to predict future

Problem 3-10

After plotting demand for four periods, an emergency room manager has concluded that a trend-adjusted exponential smoothing model is appropriate to predict future demand. The initial estimate of trend is based on the net change of 30 for thethreeperiods from 1 to 4, for an average of +10 units.

period actual

1 214

2 223

3 229

4 244

5 256

6 263

7 271

8 282

9 287

10

Use =.5 and =.1, and TAF of 250 for period 5. Obtain forecasts for periods 6 through 10.

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