Question: Problem 4 Decision Tree ( 2 5 points ) The Amber Corp. is faced with the decision as to whether or not to make a
Problem Decision Tree points
The Amber Corp. is faced with the decision as to whether or not to make a bid for producing a new motor assembly for a large automobile producer. If Amber decides to bid, this will cost them $ in research and development R&D activities. Even with the R&D there is only a chance of winning the contract. If Amber wins the contract, they will be able to sell motor assemblies at a price of $ per assembly. To produce these motor assemblies, they can choose to use existing technology or new technology as detailed below:
Existing technology: This will cost $ for modification of the current machines; in addition, variable per unit production cost will be $ In addition, the current machines are not as fast as desired, and there is a chance that overtime OT costs will be incurred depending on other business activity at Amber as described in the following table:
New technology: The cost of new technology is $ Variable per unit cost per unit will be only $ and there is no need for overtime since the new technology includes much faster machines.
Formulate the above problem as a decision tree. Suggestion: keep track of cashpayoff flows in units of $ SOLVE for the optimal strategy.
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