Question: Problem 5 S - 2 ( Static ) A small building contractor has recently experienced two successive years in which work opportunities exceeded the firm

Problem 5S-2(Static)
A small building contractor has recently experienced two successive years in which work opportunities exceeded the firms capacity. The contractor must now make a decision on capacity for next year. Estimated profits under each of the two possible states of nature are as shown in the table below. Suppose after a certain amount of discussion, the contractor is able to subjectively assess the probabilities of low and high demand: P (low)=.3 and P (high)=.7.
NEXT YEAR'S
DEMAND
Alternative Low High
Do nothing $ 50* $ 60
Expand 2080
Subcontract 4070
* Profit in $ thousands.
a-1. Determine the expected profit of each alternative.

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